{"id":3794,"date":"2023-05-05T22:32:46","date_gmt":"2023-05-05T19:32:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stage.www.cobalt.legal\/news-cases\/despite-fears-war-did-not-tip-the-scales-of-the-ma-market-in-2022\/"},"modified":"2023-11-06T22:00:42","modified_gmt":"2023-11-06T20:00:42","slug":"despite-fears-war-did-not-tip-the-scales-of-the-ma-market-in-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cobalt.legal\/lt\/news-cases\/despite-fears-war-did-not-tip-the-scales-of-the-ma-market-in-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Karas sandori\u0173 rinkos 2022-iaisias nei\u0161balansavo, nors baimi\u0173 buvo"},"content":{"rendered":"

Metams pasibaigus tradici\u0161kai skai\u010diuojame vi\u0161\u010diukus. Ap\u017evelkime, kas \u012fdomaus pernai nutiko sandori\u0173 rinkoje. Jei reik\u0117t\u0173 rinktis, Lietuvoje reik\u0161mingiausiu \u012fvykiu laiky\u010diau antro vienaragio gimim\u0105. O globaliu mastu \u2013 visame pasaulyje sprag\u0117si\u0173 pardavimus tikriausiai padidinus\u012f 44 mlrd. JAV doleri\u0173 Elono Musko bei \u201eTwitter\u201c sandor\u012f. Iki \u012fsigijimo ir po jo besivystan\u010di\u0105 situacij\u0105 daugelis internaut\u0173 iki \u0161iol stebi kaip serial\u0105.\u00a0Iki \u012fsigijimo ir po jo besivystan\u010di\u0105 situacij\u0105 daugelis internaut\u0173 iki \u0161iol stebi kaip serial\u0105.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kalbant apie m\u016bs\u0173 \u0161al\u012f ir region\u0105 pra\u0117jusius metus sunku vertinti kaip vientis\u0105 period\u0105. Sandori\u0173 rink\u0105 skirsty\u010diau \u012f du etapus: nuo met\u0173 prad\u017eios iki rudens ir paskutin\u012f ketvirt\u012f. Pirmus du ar net tris ketvir\u010dius rinka buvo labai aktyvi. Pirm\u0105j\u012f pusmet\u012f Baltijos \u0161ali\u0173 susijungim\u0173 ir \u012fsigijim\u0173 (M&A) rinkoje paskelbta apie 54 sandorius. Bendra j\u0173 vert\u0117 vir\u0161ijo 1 mlrd. Eur.<\/p>\n

Per 9 m\u0117nesius (tiksli\u0173 vis\u0173 met\u0173 duomen\u0173 kol kas n\u0117ra) paskelbta apie 81 sandor\u012f, kuri\u0173 bendra vert\u0117 siekia apie 1,5 mlrd. Eur. Palyginti, u\u017epernai per t\u0105 pat\u012f laikotarp\u012f, fiksuotas 121 sandoris. 2020-\u0173j\u0173 9 m\u0117nesi\u0173 rezultatas \u2013 44 paskelbti sandoriai.<\/p>\n

Paskutin\u012f pra\u0117jusi\u0173 met\u0173 ketvirt\u012f M&A rinka nurimo. Matyt, tie blog\u0173 laik\u0173 l\u016bkes\u010diai mus pagaliau pavijo.<\/p>\n

Tiesa, reik\u0117t\u0173 akcentuoti, kad 2021 metai sandori\u0173 skai\u010diumi Lietuvoje apskritai buvo rekordiniai. Tod\u0117l lyginti metus ir \u012fvertinti rinkos aktyvum\u0105 i\u0161 bendr\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173 gana sud\u0117tinga. Bet darbo tur\u0117jome tikrai daug. Jeigu matuotume pagal pastar\u0173j\u0173 3\u20135 met\u0173 sandori\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173, pra\u0117j\u0119 metai vidurk\u012f vir\u0161ija.<\/p>\n

Antras vienaragis<\/strong><\/p>\n

Itin dideli\u0173 perku-parduodu akcijas sandori\u0173, kurie u\u017ego\u017et\u0173 kitus, Lietuvoje 2022 m. nebuvo. Bet fiksuotas vienas stambus investicinis sandoris \u2013 \u201eTesonet\u201c grup\u0117s \u012fmon\u0117 \u201eNord Security\u201c pritrauk\u0117 100 mln. JAV doleri\u0173 investicij\u0105 ir sandorio metu buvo \u012fvertinta 1,6 mlrd. JAV doleri\u0173.<\/p>\n

Investicija n\u0117ra tipinis susijungim\u0173 ir \u012fsigijim\u0173 (M&A) sandoris. Bet tai n\u0117ra ir paskola, pinigai papild\u0117 \u012fmon\u0117s kapital\u0105, o dalis akcij\u0173 per\u0117jo \u012f naujas rankas. Tad \u012f statistik\u0105 toks sandoris patenka.<\/p>\n

Kad ir kaip tai pavadintume, \u0161is sandoris Lietuvoje pernai buvo vienas reik\u0161mingesni\u0173 \u2013 jo metu gim\u0117 antras vienaragis. O tai, savo ruo\u017etu, toliau skatina kapitalo jud\u0117jim\u0105 ir investicijas. Gali b\u016bti, kad \u0161iuo atveju, kaip ir po \u201eVinted\u201c tapimo vienaragiu, Lietuvoje atsiras daugiau milijonieri\u0173.<\/p>\n

Investicijos \u012f kosmoso technologijas<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tarp svarbiausi\u0173 arba reik\u0161mingiausi\u0173 sandori\u0173 taip pat \u012fvardin\u010diau \u201eNanoAcionics\u201c \u012fsigijim\u0105. Norvegijos \u201eKongsberg\u201c yra strateginis investuotojas, kuris nori toliau vystyti kosmoso technologijas, o ne maksimizuoti peln\u0105. Jie atne\u0161\u0117 ne tik pinigus, bet ir nema\u017eai praktini\u0173 \u017eini\u0173 (angl. know how). Tai, saky\u010diau, yra \u0161ios industrijos mil\u017ein\u0173 pripa\u017einimas. Tokios \u012fmon\u0117s kaip \u201eKongsberg\u201c nepa\u017e\u012fstamose jurisdikcijose \u012f ne\u017einomas \u012fmones neinvestuoja.<\/p>\n

Be to, \u201eNanoAcionics\u201c veikla glaud\u017eiai susijusi ne tik su kosmoso ir \u017eem\u0117s tyrimais, bet ir gynybos bei energetikos sektoriais. Tad potencialas yra mil\u017eini\u0161kas. \u0160i\u0105 \u012fmon\u0119 verta steb\u0117ti.<\/p>\n

Dar vienas sandoris, kur\u012f m\u0117gstu rodyti, kaip pavyzdin\u012f, yra Norvegijos BEWI \u012fsigijimas. \u0160i viena i\u0161 did\u017eiausi\u0173 pasaulyje pakavimo ir izoliacijos sprendim\u0173 gamintoj\u0173 \u012fsigijo 100% UAB \u201eBaltijos Polistirenas\u201c akcij\u0173.<\/p>\n

Kai prasid\u0117jo karas, jie jau buvo procese ir pirko \u012fmon\u0119, kurios gamyba susijusi su naftos produktais, o j\u0173 Lietuvoje neturime. Reik\u0117jo spr\u0119sti ir kitas problemas, susijusias su \u017ealiav\u0173 \u012fsigijimu, logistika. Ma\u017ea to, \u012fmon\u0117 susijusi ir su statyb\u0173 sektoriumi, kuriam ir pernai, o dabar jau ir \u0161iemet, prognozuojamas jeigu ne kritimas, tai s\u0105stingis. Nepaisant vis\u0173 \u0161i\u0173 neigiam\u0173 veiksni\u0173, pirk\u0117jas nesudvejojo.<\/p>\n

Tai parod\u0117 Skandinavijos regiono investuotoj\u0173 pasitik\u0117jim\u0105 Lietuva. \u0160is sandoris buvo vienas pirm\u0173j\u0173 po karo prad\u017eios. Tad gali b\u016bti, jog norvegai \u017eengdami \u0161\u012f \u017eingsn\u012f nuramino ir kitus investuotojus.<\/p>\n

Sunki \u017eiema<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u0117lyv\u0105 ruden\u012f prasid\u0117jo l\u0117t\u0117jimas. Rinkoje apie tai kalb\u0173 buvo jau vasar\u0105. Bet nuojauta nepasitvirtino, veiksmas vyko iki pat ketvirtojo ketvir\u010dio. Sul\u0117t\u0117jim\u0105 l\u0117m\u0117 objektyv\u016bs dalykai \u2013 karas, infliacija, kylan\u010dios pal\u016bkanos, smunkanti akcij\u0173 vert\u0117, netikrumas d\u0117l ateities ir kiti su tuo susij\u0119 veiksniai. Apskritai keista, kad pas mus tas stabtel\u0117jimas at\u0117jo taip v\u0117lai. Nors pa\u0161on\u0117je nuo vasario vyksta karas, likome prakti\u0161kai paskutiniai Europoje, kuriuos pasivijo neigiamos nuotaikos ir pesimistin\u0117s prognoz\u0117s.<\/p>\n

Investuotojai labai atsargiai \u017ei\u016bri \u012f ateit\u012f, nes verslai perkami siekiant pelno b\u016btent ateityje. Nat\u016bralu, jeigu i\u0161 ateitis nieko gero nesitiki ir perspektyvos li\u016bdina, tai rinka ima stoti. Pirmiausia tokiomis nuotaikomis u\u017esikre\u010dia pirk\u0117jai, kurie pradeda mu\u0161ti kain\u0105. Bet pardav\u0117jams reikia \u0161iek tiek daugiau laiko pakeisti savo l\u016bkest\u012f, tad paprastai esant tokiai situacijai rinkoje, derybos kuriam laikui \u012fstringa. \u017dinoma, da\u017enai v\u0117liau atsinaujina, bet jau su pakoreguotais l\u016bkes\u010diais. Many\u010diau, kad \u0161is procesas v\u0117l tur\u0117t\u0173 pajud\u0117ti link \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 vidurio.<\/p>\n

Amerikieti\u0161ka banga<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pasaulin\u0117je rinkoje tiek teigiamus, tiek neigiamus poky\u010dius lemia JAV. Ir pernyk\u0161\u010diai procesai ne i\u0161imtis. Priminsiu, kad pirmiausia pakrito akcij\u0173 rinka, v\u0117liau \u0117m\u0117 kilti bazin\u0117s pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos, brangti pinigai. \u017dinoma, kad \u0161ie poky\u010diai paveik\u0117 ir startuoli\u0173 augim\u0105 \u2013 pinigus pritraukti tapo sud\u0117tingiau. Tada prasid\u0117jo vis garsesni pam\u0105stymai, kad dalis u\u017e Atlanto esan\u010di\u0173 versl\u0173 yra pervertinti ir taip spiral\u0117 \u012fsisuko \u017eemyn.<\/p>\n

Daugelio \u012fmoni\u0173 \u012fver\u010diai suma\u017e\u0117jo, o ma\u017edaug vasaros pabaigoje did\u017eiosios technologij\u0173 kompanijos \u0117m\u0117 atleidin\u0117ti \u017emones.<\/p>\n

Nepaisant to, reik\u0161ming\u0173 sandori\u0173 buvo. Pasauliniu mastu, be jau min\u0117to \u201eTwitter\u201c, d\u0117mesio, manau, nusipelno dar ma\u017eiausiai du stamb\u016bs \u012fsigijimai.<\/p>\n

Pirmasis parodo augan\u010di\u0105 \u017eaidim\u0173 industrijos svarb\u0105 ir simbolizuoja nauj\u0105 jos etap\u0105, kuriame pirmu smuiku grie\u017eia did\u017eiosios pasaulin\u0117s korporacijos. Kalbu apie pernai saus\u012f \u012fvykus\u012f sandor\u012f, kurio metu \u201eMicrosoft\u201c u\u017e 68,7 mlrd. JAV doleri\u0173 susitar\u0117 \u012fsigyti vien\u0105 did\u017eiausi\u0173 pasaulyje vaizdo \u017eaidim\u0173 k\u016br\u0117j\u0173 \u201eActivision Blizzard\u201c.<\/p>\n

Jeigu sandoris bus u\u017ebaigtas (planuojama 2023 m.), programin\u0117s \u012frangos mil\u017ein\u0117 taps tre\u010dia pagal pajamas \u017eaidim\u0173 kompanija pasaulyje (po Kinijos \u201eTencent\u201c ir Japonijos \u201eSony\u201c), nors tai t\u0117ra antrin\u0117 jos veikla. Pana\u0161u, kad \u0161i industrija \u2013 ne vaik\u0173 \u017eaidimai.<\/p>\n

Kitas ne tik d\u0117l \u012fsp\u016bdingos sumos pamin\u0117jimo vertas sandoris vyko gegu\u017e\u0119. Diversifikuota ir vis labiau \u012f debesij\u0105 orientuota puslaidininki\u0173 gamintoja \u201eBroadcom\u201c u\u017e 61 mlrd. JAV doleri\u0173 susitar\u0117 \u012fsigyti debes\u0173 kompiuterijos ir virtualizacijos technologij\u0173 bendrov\u0119 \u201eVmware\u201c.<\/p>\n

Po sandorio sudarymo (beje, jau ne pirm\u0105 kart\u0105) \u201eBroadcom\u201c akcij\u0173 vert\u0117 nukrito beveik 20%, mat \u012fmoni\u0173 kult\u016bros labai skirtingos. Be to, \u201eBroadcom\u201c turi reputacij\u0105 \u012fmon\u0117s, kuri po \u012fsigijim\u0173 masi\u0161kai atleidin\u0117ja darbuotojus ir parduoda nepageidaujamus padalinius (kaip nutiko su \u201eSymantec\u201c ir \u201eCA Technologies\u201c). Kita vertus, kompanija vienose rankose laikanti lust\u0173 ir serveri\u0173 virtualizacijos bei IT infrastrukt\u016bros verslus, gali tapti labai galinga. Taigi, dabar visa IT rinka laukia, kas nutiks su Silicio sl\u0117nio debesijos veterane.<\/p>\n

Gyvenimas \u201epafront\u0117je\u201c<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bet kokiu atveju Lietuvoje rink\u0173 kreiv\u0117s blog\u0117jimas nebuvo toks dramati\u0161kas kaip JAV, nes ir m\u016bs\u0173 \u012fmoni\u0173 \u012fver\u010diai visada buvo kuklesni, ir akcij\u0173 bir\u017ea i\u0161 esm\u0117s nenukent\u0117jo, nes, palyginti su JAV, jos prakti\u0161kai n\u0117ra. B\u016btent d\u0117l \u0161i\u0173 pagrindini\u0173 veiksni\u0173 m\u016bs\u0173 emocijos rinkoje ramesn\u0117s ir neigiamas poveikis ma\u017eesnis.<\/p>\n

\u012esivaizduokime, kokia panika kilt\u0173, jeigu did\u017ei\u0173j\u0173 m\u016bs\u0173 \u0161alies bendrovi\u0173 akcijos b\u016bt\u0173 kotiruojamos bir\u017eoje ir taptume liudininkais neigiam\u0173 tendencij\u0173 \u2013 matytume kasdien\u012f akcij\u0173 vert\u0117s smukim\u0105 \u017eemyn, kuris siekt\u0173 20% ir daugiau. Kasdien. Galiu u\u017etikrinti, kad nuotaikos rinkoje, taigi ir investuotoj\u0173 l\u016bkes\u010diai, b\u016bt\u0173 kur kas prastesni.<\/p>\n

Visgi, reikia konstatuoti, kad nuotaikos rinkoje n\u0117ra geros ir jos dar prast\u0117ja. Tad turime d\u017eiaugtis, kad Lietuvos bendrov\u0117ms pavyko pritraukti investicijas pirmoje met\u0173 pus\u0117je \u2013 taip jos \u012f\u0161oko \u012f paskutin\u012f traukin\u012f. Kitu atveju, dabar tai padaryti b\u016bt\u0173 ypatingai sunku, o jeigu atvirai, gal ir ne\u012fmanoma.<\/p>\n

Ir nors kai kurios pasaulin\u0117s tendencijos mus pasiekia daugiau ar ma\u017eiau pav\u0117luotai, pasaulio akyse \u2013 mes esame \u012fvyki\u0173 s\u016bkuryje ir, deja, jie n\u0117ra teigiami. Vienas toki\u0173 \u2013 karas Ukrainoje. Kai kam gali pasirodyti, kad gyvename vos ne pafront\u0117je. Bet m\u016bs\u0173 rink\u0105 gelbsti skandinavai, lenkai, vokie\u010diai ir kit\u0173 regiono \u0161ali\u0173 investuotojai. Jie \u012f situacij\u0105 \u017ei\u016bri kur kas ramiau \u2013 juk kuo ar\u010diau esi, tuo geriau supranti tikr\u0105j\u0105 pad\u0117t\u012f.<\/p>\n

Beje, paskutin\u0119 pra\u0117jusi\u0173 met\u0173 savait\u0119 u\u017ebaig\u0117me didel\u012f sandor\u012f b\u016btent su vokie\u010diais. Tai n\u0117ra did\u017eiausias 2022 m. pirkinys, bet \u012f penketuk\u0105 tur\u0117t\u0173 patekti.<\/p>\n

Manau, kad kit\u0173 pasaulio \u0161ali\u0173 rinkose dabar vyraujantis neapibr\u0117\u017etumas greitu metu \u012fsitvirtins ir pas mus. Rinka nebebus tokia inerti\u0161ka, liks ma\u017eiau spontani\u0161kumo. Kita vertus, reikt\u0173 nepamir\u0161ti, kad vis dar yra daug pinig\u0173, kurie suplanuoti i\u0161leisti.<\/p>\n

Baigdamas \u0161i\u0105 trump\u0105 ap\u017evalg\u0105, dar noriu pasidalinti optimistin\u0117mis prognoz\u0117mis \u0161iems metams. Tikiu, kad Ukrainoje situacija kryps ger\u0105ja linkme, rinkose atsiras daugiau pozityvumo ir bendras klimatas rinkose bus teigiamas. Tad turint omenyje, kad reik\u0117s \u201eatgauti\u201c tai, kas prarasta pernai ir dar bus i\u0161\u0161vaistyta \u0161iemet, galiausiai 2023-\u0173j\u0173 pabaigoje gal\u0117sime konstatuoti, kad metai sandori\u0173 rinkoje buvo \u012fprasti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Metams pasibaigus tradici\u0161kai skai\u010diuojame vi\u0161\u010diukus. Ap\u017evelkime, kas \u012fdomaus pernai nutiko sandori\u0173 rinkoje. Jei reik\u0117t\u0173 rinktis, Lietuvoje reik\u0161mingiausiu \u012fvykiu laiky\u010diau antro vienaragio gimim\u0105. O globaliu mastu \u2013 visame pasaulyje sprag\u0117si\u0173 pardavimus tikriausiai padidinus\u012f 44 mlrd. JAV doleri\u0173 Elono Musko bei \u201eTwitter\u201c..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":28934,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"country":[92],"class_list":["post-3794","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized-lt","country-lithuania-lt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKaras sandori\u0173 rinkos 2022-iaisias nei\u0161balansavo, nors baimi\u0173 buvo | COBALT<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Karas sandori\u0173 rinkos 2022-iaisias nei\u0161balansavo, nors baimi\u0173 buvo. News. Naujienos. Jaunumi. 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